shillllihs 6,093 posts msg #133795 - Ignore shillllihs |
1/18/2017 1:49:28 PM
Currently long Ugaz and just bought Uco.
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shillllihs 6,093 posts msg #133796 - Ignore shillllihs |
1/18/2017 2:04:05 PM
I guess to answer your question, my system has me in Xiv for the long time frame until monthly CCI(39) goes under -150. For short term exit, im using a combo of Acc. Bands, BB. Xiv is bumping at upper BAND which may not mean that it will reverse right away, but that it's running out of steam and that upside will be limited to about 10% before a correction, but down side will be substantial in the short term.
I no longer have much cash in the market as I had to use it for other transactions, so whatever I do have is just for my entertainment.
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shillllihs 6,093 posts msg #133798 - Ignore shillllihs |
1/18/2017 4:12:33 PM
Oh, 1 caveat, not every long term entry and exit works with the CCI(39) system. There is a trigger but that will remain proprietary. The hardest part is finding a system for the short term counter play. Acc. Bands are the closest thing I have so far.
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shillllihs 6,093 posts msg #133800 - Ignore shillllihs modified |
1/18/2017 4:27:26 PM
You will see when Xiv goes over top line it either will eventually bounce to center or lower line.
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shillllihs 6,093 posts msg #133801 - Ignore shillllihs |
1/18/2017 4:58:52 PM
Inversely, throw Tvix in the filter. When Tvix encroaches, lower line of bollinger(10) when under Acc. Band(21), you tend to get a bounce. Pretty accurate.
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pthomas215 1,251 posts msg #133863 - Ignore pthomas215 |
1/24/2017 2:49:26 PM
shillihs, what % of your portfolio is in XIV on average? I think you said you hold onto some continuously.
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shillllihs 6,093 posts msg #133864 - Ignore shillllihs modified |
1/24/2017 3:27:20 PM
That's a good trade but I've taken it off do to being wishy washy and market seems frothy.
I've been in Ugaz, Uco, Ung and about to go long Tvix.
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shillllihs 6,093 posts msg #133865 - Ignore shillllihs |
1/24/2017 3:38:10 PM
You can hold 20-25% Xiv through the correction and buy in 25% increments at key levels on the way down,
or 75% in one swoop at a perceived bottom. You will always have some skin in the game
in case you're wrong. BB. and Acc. B. are good for this.
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pthomas215 1,251 posts msg #133866 - Ignore pthomas215 |
1/24/2017 4:38:19 PM
good deal. I do think it is frothy. on my filters that pull up weak etf's, the ones that come up are vix related. gonna wait and buy in xiv as you suggest.
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shillllihs 6,093 posts msg #133871 - Ignore shillllihs |
1/24/2017 10:36:06 PM
This strategy should only be used in a an up trending market.
I bought a little Tvix.
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